New project: Next Gen Regional Climate Projections for Tasmania
November 27, 2025
We are excited to announce that thanks to the support of the Tasmanian Government, the Climate Futures Research Group is leading a major new initiative to deliver high-resolution (4 km) climate projections for Tasmania.
This $1.8 million project, aligned with the National Partnership for Climate Projections (NPCP) and Tasmania’s Climate Change Action Plan, will provide detailed insights into future climate conditions under different climate scenarios. The project will generate state-of-the-art, high-resolution climate projections for Tasmania by dynamically downscaling CMIP6 global climate models with CCAM.
CMIP6 is a comprehensive international climate modelling initiative, coordinated by the World Climate Research Programme to advance scientific understanding of climate change. CCAM is CSIRO’s Conformal Cubic Atmospheric Model a high-resolution, variable-grid global climate model developed in Australia for simulating regional climate and weather, particularly for downscaling data.
Outputs of the Next Gen Climate Projections will be integrated into TheLIST (Land Information System Tasmania) and the forthcoming Natural Hazards Atlas for Tasmania web platform, ensuring public access to data that supports risk assessment and adaptation planning.
The project will also deliver decision-support tools, sector-specific reports and capacity building, helping communities, industries and governments make informed decisions for a changing climate. We will be working closely with Tasmanian stakeholders to ensure the delivery of targeted climate information that meets their needs.
Aligned with the NPCP, this project strengthens Tasmania’s role in Australia’s climate projections network. The project brings together UTAS expertise, advanced computing infrastructure, and partnerships with Scientell, the Tasmanian Partnership for Advanced Computing (TPAC), TheLIST, and the ARC Centre of Excellence for 21st Century Weather.
Stay tuned for updates as we work together to build a more climate-resilient Tasmania.
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