technical reports

Climate Modelling Technical Report

The Climate Modelling Technical Report sets out in more detail the performance of the model simulations in reproducing the Tasmanian climate and assesses the likelihood that the simulations accurately project future climate change for Tasmania. Summary Report (PDF, 4MB) Full Report (PDF, 30MB)

A characterisation of synoptic weather features often associated with extreme events in southeast Australia

Negatively tilted upper-tropospheric troughs are a synoptic weather pattern associated with the development of thunderstorms and severe weather, including extreme fire weather and tornadoes. While various case studies and some preliminary climatological analysis have been conducted in the past, a thorough investigation of the development of these synoptic features during extreme weather events has not […]

An assessment of the viability of prescribed burning as a management tool under a changing climate

Fire danger is projected to increase across much of Tasmania under ongoing climate change, with the fire season starting earlier in the year, and lasting for longer. Prescribed burning is currently the only effective method of managing bushfire risk at the landscape scale in Tasmania and is generally carried out during autumn (and to a […]

Climate Modelling Summary

Global climate models do not allow us to sufficiently understand the regional detail of climate change at local scales. Climate Futures specialises in downscaling of global climate models to give fine-scale regional climate projections. This summary report explains how fine scale climate modelling is carried out, in the context of the Australian state of Tasmania. […]

Review of Climate Change Research on Tasmania 2019

Tasmania draws strongly on the natural environment for many sectors of its economy, including agriculture, energy and tourism. Climate change affects the risks of natural disasters such as bushfire, drought and energy security. Research has already shown that Tasmania has already been affected by climate change and has economic impacts. Relative to Australia and many […]

Climate Change and Bushfire Research Initiative in the ‚ÄčTasmanian Wilderness World Heritage Area

The Tasmanian Wilderness World Heritage Area Management (TWWHA) has been recognised for its outstanding universal values, with many of these values being dependent on specific fire regimes for their maintenance. Climate Futures for Tasmania data indicates that climate change is highly likely to result in significant changes to the fire regime of the TWWHA, which […]

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